Climate Risk Modelling
Climate risk modelling joins hazard science, economic pathways, and ordinary balance-sheet risk mechanics. These pages set out how the pieces fit together in practice — the data behind them, the physical and transition channels, and the scenario design that turns both into numbers a board can act on.
The four building blocks
Climate Data Sources
Hazard catalogues, exposure data, and emissions records used in climate risk modelling — with the proxy and lineage rules that keep results auditable.
Physical Risk
Modelling acute and chronic physical climate hazards and converting hazard intensity into vulnerability, damage, and financial loss for portfolios.
Transition Risk
Carbon pricing, policy, and technology shifts translated into sector, counterparty, and portfolio-level financial impacts under transition scenarios.
Scenario Analysis
Designing and running climate scenario analysis — reference pathways, horizons, downscaling, and reporting that boards and supervisors can actually use.
The article library
Longer method notes on data, hazards, pathways, scenarios, and disclosure live in the climate risk modelling library.
- Climate Risk Modelling: An Overview
- Physical Risk and Hazard Modelling
- Transition Risk Pathways Explained
- Using NGFS Scenarios in Practice
- Climate Data Sources and Proxies
- Climate Disclosure and Regulation
Related
- Modelling portfolio — the model families behind this work.
- Projects — selected engagements and their outcomes.
- Climate & catastrophe risk consulting